2014 United States Senate election in Kansas: Difference between revisions
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On September 3, [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democrat]] [[Chad Taylor (politician)|Chad Taylor]] withdrew from the race.<ref>[http://cjonline.com/news/state/2014-09-03/taylor-withdraws-us-senate-campaign Taylor withdraws from the race] CJONLINE.COM</ref> However, on September 4, [[Kris Kobach]], the [[Kansas Secretary of State]], announced that Taylor will remain on the ballot because state law demands he declare himself "incapable of fulfilling the duties of office if elected" in order to be removed, which he did not do.<ref>{{cite |first=Bryan |last=Lowry |date=September 4, 2014 |title=Kobach: Democrat Chad Taylor’s name will remain on ballot for U.S. Senate |url=http://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/election/article1504835.html |newspaper=[[The Wichita Eagle]] |accessdate=September 4, 2014}}</ref> Taylor has challenged the decision, saying he had been assured by members of Kobach's staff that his actions would remove him from the ballot.<ref name=reversal>{{cite web|url=http://cjonline.com/news/2014-09-09/taylor-seeks-reversal-controversial-ballot-decision-kobach|title=Taylor seeks reversal of controversial ballot decision by Kobach: Democrat wants off U.S. Senate ballot; GOP official refuses to accept departure|date=September 9, 2014|first=Tim |last=Carpenter|work=[[The Topeka Capital-Journal]]|accessdate=September 10, 2014}}</ref> The [[Kansas Supreme Court]] has retained jurisdiction. Oral arguments will be heard on 16 September. State law demands ballots be distributed to overseas voters on 20 September.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://cjonline.com/news/2014-09-11/supreme-court-hear-taylor-kobach-ballot-dispute|title=Supreme Court to hear Taylor, Kobach ballot dispute|date=September 11, 2014|first=Tim |last=Carpenter|work=[[The Topeka Capital-Journal]]|accessdate=September 11, 2014}}</ref> Kobach has said that even if Taylor is removed, the Democratic Party will have to appoint a replacement.<ref>{{cite news |last=Hanna |first=John |date=September 16, 2014 |title=Outcome of dispute over Kansas election law has big implications as GOP fights for the Senate |url=http://m.therepublic.com/view/story/077fab1e60b04ac2b85a97fdc8f698dd/US--Senate-Kansas |newspaper=The Republic |location=Columbus, Indiana |agency=AP |accessdate=September 16, 2014 }}</ref> |
On September 3, [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democrat]] [[Chad Taylor (politician)|Chad Taylor]] withdrew from the race.<ref>[http://cjonline.com/news/state/2014-09-03/taylor-withdraws-us-senate-campaign Taylor withdraws from the race] CJONLINE.COM</ref> However, on September 4, [[Kris Kobach]], the [[Kansas Secretary of State]], announced that Taylor will remain on the ballot because state law demands he declare himself "incapable of fulfilling the duties of office if elected" in order to be removed, which he did not do.<ref>{{cite |first=Bryan |last=Lowry |date=September 4, 2014 |title=Kobach: Democrat Chad Taylor’s name will remain on ballot for U.S. Senate |url=http://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/election/article1504835.html |newspaper=[[The Wichita Eagle]] |accessdate=September 4, 2014}}</ref> Taylor has challenged the decision, saying he had been assured by members of Kobach's staff that his actions would remove him from the ballot.<ref name=reversal>{{cite web|url=http://cjonline.com/news/2014-09-09/taylor-seeks-reversal-controversial-ballot-decision-kobach|title=Taylor seeks reversal of controversial ballot decision by Kobach: Democrat wants off U.S. Senate ballot; GOP official refuses to accept departure|date=September 9, 2014|first=Tim |last=Carpenter|work=[[The Topeka Capital-Journal]]|accessdate=September 10, 2014}}</ref> The [[Kansas Supreme Court]] has retained jurisdiction. Oral arguments will be heard on 16 September. State law demands ballots be distributed to overseas voters on 20 September.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://cjonline.com/news/2014-09-11/supreme-court-hear-taylor-kobach-ballot-dispute|title=Supreme Court to hear Taylor, Kobach ballot dispute|date=September 11, 2014|first=Tim |last=Carpenter|work=[[The Topeka Capital-Journal]]|accessdate=September 11, 2014}}</ref> Kobach has said that even if Taylor is removed, the Democratic Party will have to appoint a replacement.<ref>{{cite news |last=Hanna |first=John |date=September 16, 2014 |title=Outcome of dispute over Kansas election law has big implications as GOP fights for the Senate |url=http://m.therepublic.com/view/story/077fab1e60b04ac2b85a97fdc8f698dd/US--Senate-Kansas |newspaper=The Republic |location=Columbus, Indiana |agency=AP |accessdate=September 16, 2014 }}</ref> |
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On Thursday, September 18, the [[Kansas Supreme Court]] ruled that [[Kris Kobach]] must remove Taylor's name from the ballot stating that Kobach must "comply with his clearly defined duty imposed by K.S.A. 26-306b (b). He shall not include Taylor's name on any ballots for the office of United States Senate for the general election.".<ref>[http://cjonline.com/news/state/2014-09-18/court-permits-taylor-withdraw-senate-race Taylor's name will not be on the ballot]</ref> |
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==Republican primary== |
==Republican primary== |
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| Elections in Kansas |
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The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas will take place on November 4, 2014, concurrently with other state and federal elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts is running for re-election to a fourth term against Independent Greg Orman.
On September 3, Democrat Chad Taylor withdrew from the race.[1] However, on September 4, Kris Kobach, the Kansas Secretary of State, announced that Taylor will remain on the ballot because state law demands he declare himself "incapable of fulfilling the duties of office if elected" in order to be removed, which he did not do.[2] Taylor has challenged the decision, saying he had been assured by members of Kobach's staff that his actions would remove him from the ballot.[3] The Kansas Supreme Court has retained jurisdiction. Oral arguments will be heard on 16 September. State law demands ballots be distributed to overseas voters on 20 September.[4] Kobach has said that even if Taylor is removed, the Democratic Party will have to appoint a replacement.[5]
On Thursday, September 18, the Kansas Supreme Court ruled that Kris Kobach must remove Taylor's name from the ballot stating that Kobach must "comply with his clearly defined duty imposed by K.S.A. 26-306b (b). He shall not include Taylor's name on any ballots for the office of United States Senate for the general election.".[6]
Republican primary
Roberts gained negative press attention after criticism that he did not own a home in Kansas, with some comparing the situation to that of former Indiana Senator Richard Lugar, who lost a 2012 Senate primary after a similar residency controversy.[7] Roberts owns a home in Alexandria, Virginia.[8] The primary was held August 5, 2014.[9]
Wolf is under investigation by a state medical ethics board for posting X-ray images of dead patients with macabre commentary to Facebook.[10]
Candidates
Declared
- Pat Roberts, incumbent Senator[11]
- D.J. Smith, former Osawatomie City Councilwoman[12]
- Milton R. Wolf, radiologist and conservative commentator[13]
- Alvin Zahnter, truck driver and Vietnam War veteran[12]
Declined
- Tim Huelskamp, U.S. Representative[14]
- Dennis Pyle, State Senator[15][16]
Endorsements
Pat Roberts
- Sam Brownback, Governor of Kansas[17]
- Jeff Colyer, Lieutenant Governor of Kansas[17]
- Bob Dole, former U.S. Senator (KS-R) and nominee for President of the United States in 1996[18]
- Ron Estes, Kansas State Treasurer[17]
- Tim Huelskamp, U.S. Representative[17]
- Lynn Jenkins, U.S. Representative[17]
- Kris Kobach, Secretary of State of Kansas[17]
- Jerry Moran, U.S. Senator (KS-R)[17]
- Mike Pompeo, U.S. Representative[17]
- Derek Schmidt, Attorney General of Kansas[17]
- Kevin Yoder, U.S. Representative[17]
Milton Wolf
Individuals
- Erick Erickson, conservative political commentator and editor-in-chief of RedState[19]
- Jana Goodman, former State Representative[20]
- Ron Highland, State Representative[21]
- Michael Houser, State Representative[22]
- Charlotte O'Hara, former State Representative[20]
- Josh Powell, State Representative[23]
- Marty Read, State Representative[24]
- Jim Ryun, former U.S. Representative[25]
- Mark Levin, The Mark Levin Show[26]
Organizations
- Flint Hills Tea Party[27]
- Kansans for Constitutional Government[28]
- Kansans for Constitutional Integrity[29]
- Madison Project[30]
- National Association for Gun Rights[31]
- Republican Liberty Caucus[32]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[33]
- Southeast Kansas Conservative Group[34]
- Tea Party Express[35]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pat Roberts |
D.J. Smith |
Milton Wolf |
Alvin Zahnter |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily Kos/Google Consumer Surveys | August 4, 2014 | 1,002 | ± 3.1% | 53.4% | — | 39.1% | — | — | 7.5% |
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 691 | ± 3.8% | 50% | 6% | 30% | 3% | — | 12% |
| GEB International | July 9, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.28% | 42% | — | 30% | — | — | 28% |
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 56% | — | 23% | — | 8% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 375 | ± 5.1% | 49% | — | 23% | — | — | 28% |
| The Tarrance Group^ | January 13–15, 2014 | 501 | ± 4.5% | 69% | — | 15% | — | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pat Roberts |
Someone More Conservative |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 375 | ± 5.1% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 34% | 24% |
- ^ Internal poll for the Pat Roberts campaign
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pat Roberts | 127,089 | 48.08 | |
| Republican | Milton Wolf | 107,799 | 40.78 | |
| Republican | D.J. Smith | 15,288 | 5.78 | |
| Republican | Alvin E. Zahnter | 13,935 | 5.27 | |
| Total votes | 264,340 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chad Taylor, Shawnee County District Attorney[37][38]
- Patrick Wiesner, attorney and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[12]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chad Taylor |
Patrick Wiesner |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 322 | ± 5.6% | 48% | 17% | 35% |
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 252 | ± 6.3% | 41% | 16% | 43% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chad Taylor | 35,067 | 53.3 | |
| Democratic | Patrick Wiesner | 30,752 | 46.7 | |
| Total votes | 65,819 | 100 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Randall Batson[39]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Greg Orman, businessman and withdrawn candidate in Democratic primary for Senate in 2008.[40][41]
General election
Endorsements
Chad Taylor (before withdrawal)
- Individuals
- Dennis Moore, former U.S. Representative[42]
- T. Walton, Sheriff of Harvey County[43]
- Organizations
Greg Orman
Polling
FiveThirtyEight, which uses a statistical model to predict elections, gives Roberts a 51% chance of winning as of September 16.[52]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pat Roberts (R) |
Chad Taylor (D) |
Greg Orman (I) |
Randall Batson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News | September 14–16, 2014 | 604 | ± 4% | 40% | 11%[a] | 38% | 4% | — | 8% |
| 42% | — | 48% | — | — | 8% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling | September 11–14, 2014 | 1,328 | ± 2.7% | 34% | 6%[b] | 41% | 4% | — | 15% |
| 36% | — | 46% | — | — | 17% | ||||
| KSN/SurveyUSA | September 4–7, 2014 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 36% | 10% | 37% | 6% | — | 11% |
| CBS News/New York Times | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 839 | ± 5% | 47% | 35% | — | — | 2% | 15% |
| SurveyUSA | August 20–23, 2014 | 560 | ± 4.2% | 37% | 32% | 20% | 4% | — | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 14–17, 2014 | 903 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 25% | 23% | 3% | — | 17% |
| 43% | 39% | — | — | — | 17% | ||||
| 33% | — | 43% | — | — | 24% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 6–7, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 44% | 40% | — | — | 7% | 8% |
| CBS News/New York Times | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,281 | ± 6.1% | 53% | 37% | — | — | 7% | 4% |
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 1,208 | ± 2.9% | 38% | 33% | 14% | 4% | — | 10% |
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 1068 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 33% | 7% | 5% | — | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 50% | 32% | — | — | 5% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 48% | 32% | — | — | — | 20% |
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See also
Notes
References
- ^ Taylor withdraws from the race CJONLINE.COM
- ^ Lowry, Bryan (September 4, 2014), "Kobach: Democrat Chad Taylor's name will remain on ballot for U.S. Senate", The Wichita Eagle, retrieved September 4, 2014
- ^ Carpenter, Tim (September 9, 2014). "Taylor seeks reversal of controversial ballot decision by Kobach: Democrat wants off U.S. Senate ballot; GOP official refuses to accept departure". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved September 10, 2014.
- ^ Carpenter, Tim (September 11, 2014). "Supreme Court to hear Taylor, Kobach ballot dispute". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved September 11, 2014.
- ^ Hanna, John (September 16, 2014). "Outcome of dispute over Kansas election law has big implications as GOP fights for the Senate". The Republic. Columbus, Indiana. AP. Retrieved September 16, 2014.
- ^ Taylor's name will not be on the ballot
- ^ Martin, Jonathan (February 7, 2014). "Lacking a House, a Senator Is Renewing His Ties in Kansas". New York Times. Retrieved February 21, 2014.
- ^ Martin, Jonathan (September 4, 2014). "National G.O.P. Moves to Take Over Campaign of Kansas Senator". The New York Times. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
- ^ "Milton Wolf demanding GOP foe Pat Roberts be kept off ballot". The Kansas City Star. May 2, 2014.
{{cite news}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter:|1=(help) - ^ "Kansas ethics board investigating Wolf's X-ray posts to Facebook | Cjonline.com Mobile". M.cjonline.com. July 22, 2014. Retrieved August 8, 2014.
- ^ "Roberts already planning 2014 bid". The Hutchinson News. October 31, 2009.
- ^ a b c Marso, Andy (June 2, 2014). "New challengers for Roberts, Jenkins seats file". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved June 25, 2014.
- ^ Stafford, Grae (October 8, 2013). "Tea party radiologist to primary Kansas Republican for Senate seat". The Daily Caller. Retrieved October 8, 2013.
- ^ "Roberts Announcement Squashes Notion of Primary Challenge". National Journal. March 28, 2013.
- ^ "Pyle mulls joining U.S. Senate primary". The Topeka Capital-Journal. May 23, 2014. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
- ^ "Kansas candidate filing deadline passes". Star-Telegram. June 2, 2014. Archived from the original on June 7, 2014. Retrieved July 28, 2014.
{{cite news}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|newspaper=(help) - ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Pat Roberts for Senate Announces Honorary Statewide Campaign Committee". Pat Robert for US Senate. Retrieved September 13, 2013.
- ^ [1][dead link]
- ^ Erickson, Erick (December 18, 2013). "Dr. Milton Wolf for Senate". RedState.com. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ a b "Former State Representatives Jana Goodman and Charlotte O'Hara Endorse Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 12, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ^ "State Representative Ron Highland Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ "State Representative Mike Houser Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. December 4, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ^ "State Representative Josh Powell Endorses Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 18, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ^ "State Representative Marty Read Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 19, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ^ Botteri, Christina (January 26, 2014). "Senate Challenger Milton Wolf Ties Incumbent Roberts in Straw Poll at Kansas GOP Convention". TCOT Report. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ "Mark Levin endorses Senate Challenger Dr. Milton Wolf".
- ^ "Flint Hills Tea Party Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 20, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ "Kansans for Constitutional Government Endorse Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 11, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ^ "Kansans for Constitutional Integrity Endorse Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ "Madison Project Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. December 19, 2013. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ "National Association for Gun Rights Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. March 24, 2014. Retrieved April 18, 2014.
- ^ "Republican Liberty Caucus Endorses Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate in Kansas". PR Underground. January 27, 2014. Retrieved January 28, 2014.
- ^ Hohmann, James (December 10, 2013). "Milton Wolf gets conservative backing". Politico. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
- ^ "Southeast Kansas Conservatives Endorse Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ Jaffe, Alexandra (February 27, 2014). "Tea Party Express endorses Roberts's primary challenger". The Hill. Retrieved February 27, 2014.
- ^ a b "2014 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
- ^ "Northeast Kansas prosecutor running for US Senate". KAKE. February 27, 2014. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
- ^ Hanna, John (November 1, 2013). "Northeast Kansas DA exploring run for US Senate". The State.
{{cite news}}:|access-date=requires|url=(help) - ^ Sloan, Nick (June 25, 2014). "POLL: Davis leads Brownback 47-41; Republicans up in other races". Kansas City Kansan. Retrieved July 18, 2014.
- ^ http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/greg-orman-for-us-senate-launches-campaign-website-810726.htm
- ^ http://www.kansas.com/2014/06/05/3493799/olathe-businessman-greg-orman.html
- ^ "Dennis Moore Endorses Chad Taylor". Chad Taylor for US Senate. March 25, 2014. Retrieved April 18, 2014.
- ^ "Harvey and Reno and Douglas Oh My!". Chad Taylor for US Senate. May 22, 2014. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
- ^ a b c "Chad on Labor". Chad Taylor for US Senate. May 22, 2014. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
- ^ a b "June 27, 2014: All phases of the game". Chad Taylor for US Senate. June 27, 2014. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
- ^ "Endorsement: the KS Fraternal Order of Police". Chad Taylor for US Senate. August 13, 2014. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
- ^ Carpenter, Tim. "Republican group endorses Orman for Senate" Topeka Capital-Journal September 3, 2014
- ^ "Breaking News: The Centrist Project Voice Endorses a Wide Portfolio of Moderate Candidates". The Centrist Project. July 9, 2014. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
- ^ Clarkin, Mary (August 22, 2014). "Sherow splits with Dems in Senate race to back Orman". The Hutchinson News. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
- ^ "Greg Orman for U.S. Senate". Women for Kansas. August 3, 2014. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
- ^ "Republican Group Announces Endorsement For Greg Orman". wibw. September 3, 2014. Retrieved September 16, 2014.
- ^ "FiveThirtyEight's Senate Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. September 16, 2014. Retrieved September 16, 2014.
- ^ Blumenthal, Mark; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Lienesch, Rachel (September 16, 2014). "Poll Finds Pat Roberts Trailing Independent Candidate". The Huffington Post. Retrieved September 16, 2014.
External links
- Official campaign websites