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White Christmas (weather)

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White Christmas

A white Christmas, to most people in the Northern Hemisphere, refers to a Christmas Morning with snow on the ground. This phenomenon is far more common in some countries than in others. For example, in the United Kingdom, snow is seldom experienced at Christmas except in the Mid or northern parts and the mountains; but most parts of Canada except for the British Columbia coast and southern interior valleys, southern Alberta, southern Ontario and parts of the Maritimes stand an excellent chance of experiencing a white Christmas. The same goes for the countries in northern Europe, such as ones in Scandinavia, the Baltic States, Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and Poland. Due to oceanic climate and such, the further west a country is in Europe, the lower the probability that it will have a white Christmas (e.g., in southern France it is very rare, while in Bucharest, Romania, which is at a similar latitude, a white Christmas is much more likely).

Northern Italy and the mountain regions of central-south Italy may also have a White Christmas: in cities like Turin, Milan or Bologna a Christmas with falling snow or snow on the ground is not a rarity. Trento, in example, has experienced 4 White Christmas since 1993 (1993, 1999, 2000, 2005, some freezing sleet in 2004); The city also received nearly 50 cm of snow on Christmas 1981 and a couple of cm on December 25, 1985.

In the United Kingdom, white Christmases were more common in the 18th and 19th centuries, during the Little Ice Age. In modern times, for the purposes of betting, a Christmas is considered "white" if a single snow flake is observed falling in the 24 hours of 25 December,[1] even without a perceivable quantity of snow.

The prospect of early winter snow, never mind a white Christmas, in Ireland is always remote due to the country's warm and wet climate. Bookmakers offer odds every year for a "white Christmas", which is (officially) snow being recorded at 09:00 local time on Christmas Day, and recorded at either Dublin Airport, Belfast International Airport or Cork Airport (bets are offered for each airport). Snow is most common in the north, and as such Belfast usually has better odds than Dublin, and considerably better odds than Cork, which is at the extreme south of the country. Ireland's last "official" white Christmas was in 2004.[2]

Some of the least-likely white Christmases that have happened include the 2004 Christmas Eve Snowstorm, which brought the first white Christmas in 50 years to New Orleans and caused the first recorded white Christmas to Houston, Texas. The 2004 storm also brought the first measurable snow of any kind since 1895 to Brownsville, Texas, and its twin city of Matamoros, Mexico. The Florida winter storm of 1989 also occurred immediately before Christmas. The same storm buried Wilmington, North Carolina and the rest of Southeastern North Carolina under 15 inches of snow; even small amounts of snowfall are rare in the area.

Cultural Significance in the United States

The notion of a White Christmas is opften associated in the American popular consciousness with a Christmas celebration that includes traditional observances and closeness of friends and family. "White Christmas" is an Irving Berlin song reminiscing about an old-fashioned Chritsmas setting.

White Christmases in Canada

The Meteorological Service of Canada compiled a list of the probability of a White Christmas in selected Canadian cities:[3]

City Probability
Vancouver11%
Calgary59%
Edmonton88%
Saskatoon98%
Regina91%
Winnipeg98%
Sudbury100%
Windsor50%
Toronto57%
Ottawa83%
Montreal80%
Quebec City100%
Halifax59%
St. John's65%
Whitehorse100%
Yellowknife100%

2006 saw some of the warmest weather on record, with such places as Quebec City experiencing their first green Christmas in recorded history.[4]

In 2008, Canada experienced the first nation-wide white Christmas in 37 years, as a series of pre-Christmas storms hit the nation, including the normally rainy BC Pacific coast.

White Christmases in the United States

File:US White Christmas Map.gif
Map of the Lower 48 States showing the probability of a White Christmas (courtesy of NWS St. Louis, Missouri)

According to the National Climatic Data Center, basing numbers upon 1988-2005 data and stations with at least 25 years of data, the probability of a White Christmas (one inch of snow on the ground) at selected cities is as follows:[5]

City Probability
Anchorage, Alaska90%
Annette Island, Alaska (Alaska Panhandle)17%
Fairbanks, Alaska100%
Phoenix, Arizona1%
Little Rock, Arkansas3%
Los Angeles, California1%
San Francisco, California1%
Denver, Colorado50%
Hartford, Connecticut57%
Wilmington, Delaware13%
Washington, DC13%
Savannah, Georgia3%
Boise, Idaho30%
Chicago, Illinois40%
Indianapolis, Indiana30%
Des Moines, Iowa50%
Topeka, Kansas23%
Louisville, Kentucky13%
Portland, Maine83%
Boston, Massachusetts23%
Detroit, Michigan50%
Marquette, Michigan (Upper Peninsula)90%
Duluth, Minnesota97%
Minneapolis, Minnesota73%
St. Louis, Missouri23%
Helena, Montana67%
Omaha, Nebraska44%
Reno, Nevada20%
Concord, New Hampshire87%
Newark, New Jersey23%
Albuquerque, New Mexico3%
Massena, New York77%
New York, New York10%
Charlotte, North Carolina1%
Fargo, North Dakota83%
Cleveland, Ohio60%
Akron, Ohio60%
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma3%
Portland, Oregon1%
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania10%
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania33%
Providence, Rhode Island37%
Charleston, South Carolina3%
Rapid City, South Dakota47%
Nashville, Tennessee13%
Amarillo, Texas7%
Dallas, Texas8%
Salt Lake City, Utah53%
Richmond, Virginia7%
Seattle, Washington8%
Spokane, Washington70%
Charleston, West Virginia30%
Huntington, West Virginia23%
Milwaukee, Wisconsin60%
Casper, Wyoming47%

According to research by CDIAC meteorologist Dale Kaiser, the United States during the second half of the 20th century experienced declining frequencies of White Christmases, especially in the northeastern region. [6]

White Christmases in the United Kingdom

Since 1950, the number of years with a white Christmas in the UK is as follows:[7]

Location Percentage of years with a white Christmas
London13%
Birmingham14%
Aberporth9%
Glasgow13%
Aberdeen25%
Belfast16%
Lerwick32%
Bradford7%
St Mawgan7%

Southern Hemisphere

White Christmases are especially rare events in the Southern hemisphere. In 2005, a freak snowstorm hit the Snowy Mountains in New South Wales and Victoria, arriving on Christmas Morning and bringing nearly 1 foot of snow in higher areas. This was an especially rare event because it occurred during Australia's typically warm summer. A white Christmas in the southern hemisphere (specifically those close to Antarctica) is approximately equivalent to having snow in the northern hemisphere on June 25, and in some ways is even less likely because the Northern Hemisphere has population centers farther from the equator than does the Southern Hemisphere.

References

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