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2020 British Columbia general election

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2020 British Columbia general election
← 2017 October 24, 2020 (2020-10-24)
87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
44 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Andrew Wilkinson John Horgan Sonia Furstenau
Party Liberal New Democratic Green
Leader since February 3, 2018 May 4, 2014 September 14, 2020
Leader's seat Vancouver-Quilchena Langford-Juan de Fuca Cowichan Valley
Last election 43 seats, 40.36% 41 seats, 40.28% 3 seats, 16.84%
Current seats 41 41 2
Seats needed Increase3 Increase3 Increase42
Incumbent Premier

John Horgan
New Democratic



The 2020 British Columbia general election (formally the 42nd British Columbia general election) will be held on October 24, 2020,[1] to elect members of the Legislative Assembly in the Canadian province of British Columbia.

Elections BC administered a postal referendum from October to December 2018 on whether the current first-past-the-post (FPTP) voting system should be maintained or if the province should switch to a proportional representation (PR) system. The referendum ended with a majority voting to maintain the existing FPTP system.[2]

Timing

Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the third Saturday in October of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[3] The fixed election date was previously set for the second Tuesday in May, but the BC NDP passed legislation in 2017 amending the section of the constitution pertaining to the set election day.[4] The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the lieutenant governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as he or she sees fit (in practice, on the advice of the premier or following a vote of non-confidence).[3][5]

This prerogative was exercised on September 21, 2020, when Premier John Horgan called an election, thus dissolving the 41st Parliament. The writ of election was issued the same day, commencing a 32-day campaign. This is the first election in BC in nearly two decades to not follow a fixed-term, following four successive elections which adhered to fixed-date legislation under amendments to the Constitution Act introduced by the Liberal government under Gordon Campbell, which was passed shortly after the Liberals came into power after the 2001 election. It is also the first time a BC government has gone to the polls before the expiration of its mandate since the Social Credit government under Bill Vander Zalm called an early election in 1986. The election was criticized for being called during the coronavirus pandemic, as well as for not being held on the fixed date.[6] The premier defended his decision, claiming that the province needed a strong mandate and stability to deal with the challenges of the pandemic for the coming years. Horgan and the BC NDP had been enjoying popularity in the polls during the summer and throughout the pandemic, something opposition parties highlighted to the public.[7]

2018 electoral reform referendum

Main article: 2018 British Columbia electoral reform referendum

A referendum on electoral reform took place by postal ballot between October 22 and December 7, 2018, in British Columbia. In the referendum, electors were asked:[8]

  1. to choose whether to maintain the current first-past-the-post voting system or to switch to a proportional representation (PR) system;
  2. to rank three PR systems by preference, should the province switch to PR:

The referendum ended with a majority voting in favour of maintaining the existing first-past-the-post system.[2]

Retiring incumbents

Liberals

New Democrats

Independents

Candidates by riding

  • Names in bold are outgoing cabinet ministers, and names in italics are party leaders. The premier is in both.
  • † denotes incumbent MLAs who are not seeking re-election.
  • ‡ denotes incumbent MLAs who are seeking re-election in a different riding.
  • A riding name in brackets below the name of the incumbent MLA indicates the name of the predecessor riding contested in the last election.
  • Candidate names are given as they appeared on the ballot, and may include formal names and middle names that the candidate does not use in day-to-day political life. For example, Greg Kyllo appeared on the ballot as Gregory James Kyllo.

Northern British Columbia

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Nechako Lakes John Rustad[24] Anne Marie Sam[25] Dan Stuart (CHP)[26] John Rustad
North Coast Roy Jones[24] Jennifer Rice[27] Jennifer Rice
Peace River North Dan Davies[24] Trevor Bolin (Cons.) Dan Davies
Peace River South Mike Bernier[24] Kathleen Connolly (Cons.)[28] Mike Bernier
Prince George-Mackenzie Mike Morris[24] Joan Atkinson Raymond Rodgers (Ltn.)[29] Mike Morris
Prince George-Valemount Shirley Bond[24] Mackenzie Kerr[30] Sean Robson (Ltn.)[31] Shirley Bond
Skeena Ellis Ross[24] Nicole Halbauer[25] Ellis Ross
Stikine Gordon Sebastian[24] Nathan Cullen[32] †Doug Donaldson

Kootenays

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Columbia River-Revelstoke Doug Clovechok[24] Nicole Cherlet[33] Samson Boyer[34] Doug Clovechok
Kootenay East Tom Shypitka[24] Wayne Stetski[35] Kerri Wall[34] Tom Glenn Shypitka
Kootenay West Katrine Conroy[25] Katrine Conroy
Nelson-Creston Tanya Finley[24] Brittny Anderson[25] Nicole Charlwood[36] †Michelle Mungall

Okanagan, Shuswap and Boundary

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Boundary-Similkameen Petra Veintimilla[24] Roly Russell[25] †Linda Larson
Kelowna-Lake Country Norm Letnick[24] Norm Letnick
Kelowna-Mission Renee Merrifield[24] †Steve Thomson
Kelowna West Ben Stewart[24] Matt Badura (Ltn.)[37] Ben Stewart
Penticton Dan Ashton[24] Toni Boot[25] Keith MacIntyre (Ltn.)[38] Dan Ashton
Shuswap Greg Kyllo[24] Greg Kyllo
Vernon-Monashee Eric Foster[24] Eric Foster

Thompson and Cariboo

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Cariboo-Chilcotin Lorne Doerksen[24] †Donna Barnett
Cariboo North Coralee Oakes[24] Coralee Oakes
Fraser-Nicola Jackie Tegart[24] Aaron Sumexheltza[25] Jonah Timms[39] Jackie Tegart
Kamloops-North Thompson Peter Milobar[24] Peter Milobar
Kamloops-South Thompson Todd Stone[24] Dan Hines[34] Todd Stone

Fraser Valley

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Abbotsford-Mission Simon Gibson[24] Pam Alexis [40] Simon Gibson
Abbotsford South Bruce Banman[24] †Darryl Plecas
Abbotsford West Mike de Jong[24] Mike de Jong
Chilliwack John Martin [24] Diane Janzen (Cons.)[41] John Martin
Chilliwack-Kent Laurie Throness[24] Jeff Hammersmark[34] Laurie Throness
Langley Mary Polak[24] Andrew Mercier[42] Bill Masse[43] Shelly Jan (Cons.)[44] Mary Polak
Langley East Margaret Kunst[24] Cheryl Wiens[45] Ryan Warawa (Cons.)[46] †Rich Coleman
Maple Ridge-Mission Chelsa Meadus[24] Bob D'Eith[25] Bob D'Eith
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows Cheryl Ashlie[24] Lisa Beare[25] Lisa Beare

Surrey

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Surrey-Cloverdale Marvin Hunt[24] Mike Starchuk Marvin Hunt
Surrey-Fleetwood Garry Thind[24] Jagrup Brar[25] Jagrup Brar
Surrey-Green Timbers Rachna Singh Rachna Singh
Surrey-Guildford Dave Hans[24] Garry Begg[26] Garry Begg
Surrey-Newton Paul Boparai[24] Harry Bains[25] Harry Bains
Surrey-Panorama Gulzar Cheema[24] Jinny Sims[25] Jinny Sims
Surrey South Stephanie Cadieux[24] Stephanie Cadieux
Surrey-Whalley Shaukat Khan[24] Bruce Ralston Ryan Abbott (Comm.)[47] Bruce Ralston
Surrey-White Rock Trevor Halford[24] Vacant

Richmond and Delta

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Delta North Jet Sunner[24] Ravi Kahlon[25] Neema Manral[34] Ravi Kahlon
Delta South Ian Paton[24] Ian Paton
Richmond North Centre Teresa Wat[24] Teresa Wat
Richmond-Queensborough Jas Johal[24] Aman Singh [25] Jas Johal
Richmond South Centre Alexa Loo[24] Henry Yao [48] †Linda Reid
Richmond-Steveston Matt Pitcairn[24] †John Yap

Burnaby, New Westminster, and Coquitlam

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Burnaby-Deer Lake Anne Kang[26] Anne Kang
Burnaby-Edmonds Raj Chouhan[25] Raj Chouhan
Burnaby-Lougheed Tariq Malik[24] Katrina Chen[25] Katrina Chen
Burnaby North Raymond Dong[24] Janet Routledge[25] Norine Shim[34] Janet Routledge
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Joan Isaacs[24] Fin Donnelly[25] Joan Isaacs
Coquitlam-Maillardville Selina Robinson[25] Nicola Spurling[34][49] Jonathon Gagnon (Cons.)[50] Selina Robinson
New Westminster Lorraine Brett[24] Jennifer Whiteside[25] Cyrus Sy[51] †Judy Darcy
Port Coquitlam Mike Farnworth[25] Erik Minty[34] Christine Gower (Ecosoc.)[52] Mike Farnworth
Port Moody-Coquitlam James Robertson[24] Rick Glumac[25] Rick Glumac

Vancouver

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Vancouver-Fairview George Affleck[24] George Heyman[25] Ian Goldman[53] George Heyman
Vancouver-False Creek Sam Sullivan[24] Brenda Bailey[54] Maayan Kreitzman Sam Sullivan
Vancouver-Fraserview David Grewal[24] George Chow Francoise Raunet[55] George Chow
Vancouver-Hastings Alex Read[24] Niki Sharma[56] Bridget Burns[57] Kimball Cariou (Comm.)[47] †Shane Simpson
Vancouver-Kensington Paul Lepage[24] Mable Elmore Nazanin Moghadami Mable Elmore
Vancouver-Kingsway Adrian Dix Scott Bernstein Adrian Dix
Vancouver-Langara Michael Lee[24] Tesicca Truong[25] Stephanie Hendy Michael Lee
Vancouver-Mount Pleasant Melanie Mark[25] Kelly Tatham[58] Melanie Mark
Vancouver-Point Grey Mark Bowen[24] David Eby[25] Devyani Singh[59] David Eby
Vancouver-Quilchena Andrew Wilkinson[24] Michael Barkusky[60] Andrew Wilkinson
Vancouver-West End Jon Ellacott[24] Spencer Chandra Herbert[26] James Marshall Spencer Chandra Herbert

North Shore and Sunshine Coast

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
North Vancouver-Lonsdale Lyn Anglin[24] Bowinn Ma[61] Christopher Hakes[62] Bowinn Ma
North Vancouver-Seymour Jane Thornthwaite[24] Susie Chant[63] Harrison Johnson[64] Jane Thornthwaite
Powell River-Sunshine Coast Nicholas Simons[25] Nicholas Simons
West Vancouver-Capilano Karin Kirkpatrick[24] Rasoul Narimani[65] †Ralph Sultan
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky Jordan Sturdy[24] Jordan Sturdy

Vancouver Island

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Courtenay-Comox Brennan Day[24] Ronna-Rae Leonard[25] Ronna-Rae Leonard
Cowichan Valley Tanya Kaul[24] Rob Douglas [25] Sonia Furstenau Sonia Furstenau
Mid Island-Pacific Rim Helen Poon[24] Josie Osborne[25] †Scott Fraser
Nanaimo Kathleen Jones[66] Sheila Malcolmson[25] Sheila Malcolmson
Nanaimo-North Cowichan Duck Paterson[24] Doug Routley[25] Chris Istace[67] Doug Routley
North Island Norm Facey[24] Michele Babchuk[25] †Claire Trevena
Parksville-Qualicum Michelle Stilwell[24] Michelle Stilwell

Greater Victoria

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal NDP Green Other
Esquimalt-Metchosin RJ Senko[24] Mitzi Dean[25] Mitzi Dean
Langford-Juan de Fuca Kelly Darwin[24] John Horgan[25] Tyson Strandlund (Comm.)[47] John Horgan
Oak Bay-Gordon Head Roxanne Helme[24] Murray Rankin[25] Florian Castle (Comm.)[47] †Andrew Weaver
Saanich North and the Islands Stephen P. Roberts[24] Zeb King[68] Adam Olsen[26] Adam Olsen
Saanich South Lana Popham[25] Lana Popham
Victoria-Beacon Hill Karen Bill[24] Grace Lore[25] Jeremy Caradonna[69] †Carole James
Victoria-Swan Lake David Somerville[24] Rob Fleming[25] Walt Parsons (Comm.)[47] Rob Fleming

Opinion polls

Five-poll average of British Columbia opinion polling from May 9, 2017, to the last possible date of the next election on October 16, 2021. Each line corresponds to a political party.

The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.

Fieldwork dates Polling organization / client Sample size Liberal NDP Green Cons. Others[a] Lead
September 22–23, 2020 Insights West[70] 1,000 29% 42% 16% 12% 1% 13%
September 21–23, 2020 Research Co.[71] 750 37% 44% 13% 4% 1% 7%
September 21, 2020 Premier John Horgan announces a snap general election to be held on October 24, 2020.
September 14, 2020 Sonia Furstenau is elected leader of the Green Party.
August 26 – September 1, 2020 Angus Reid[72] 655 29% 48% 14% 8% 1% 19%
July 18 – August 28, 2020 EKOS Research Associates[73] 1,984 25% 51% 14% n/a 11% 26%
July 14–20, 2020 Innovative Research Group[74] 441 36% 38% 12% 13% 1% 2%
June 16 – July 17, 2020 EKOS Research Associates[75] 1,504 29% 46% 13% n/a 12% 17%
June 24–28, 2020 Insight West[76] 830 29% 47% 11% 12% 1% 18%
June 19–23, 2020 Innovative Research Group[77] 384 32% 42% 12% 13% 0% 10%
May 29 – June 1, 2020 Innovative Research Group[78] 375 34% 43% 10% 12% 1% 9%
May 23–25, 2020 Research Co.[79] 800 33% 41% 16% 9% 1% 8%
May 19–24, 2020 Angus Reid[80] 603 29% 47% 12% 10% 2% 18%
May 1–5, 2020 Innovative Research Group[81] 384 36% 42% 10% 12% 3% 6%
February 24–28, 2020 Angus Reid[82] 608 31% 36% 21% 10% 2% 5%
January 6, 2020 Adam Olsen is chosen as interim leader of the Green Party.
November 7–9, 2019 Insight West[83] 808 32% 35% 14% 17% 2% 3%
October 7, 2019 Andrew Weaver announces his resignation as leader of the Green Party.
Jun 6–12, 2019 Insights West[84] 848 30% 35% 18% 14% 3% 5%
May 20–22, 2019 Research Co.[85] 800 30% 39% 21% 9% 1% 9%
April 8, 2019 Trevor Bolin is elected leader of the BC Conservatives.
Mar 20–21, 2019 Mainstreet[86] 923 32.4% 39.0% 13.3% 12.1% 3.3% 6.6%
Feb 26 – Mar 13, 2019 Justason[87] 812 31% 30% 16% 19% 3% 1%
Jan 13–14, 2019 Mainstreet[88] 887 34.9% 37.0% 14.6% 11.2% 2.2% 2.1%
Nov 2–6, 2018 Insights West[89] 814 32.9% 38.2% 13.2% 11.8% 3.9% 5.3%
Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2018 Mainstreet[90] 616 33.9% 32.3% 18.2% 12.6% 3% 1.6%
Jul 15–17, 2018 Mainstreet[91] 933 33.9% 33.2% 16.0% 14.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Jul 12–15, 2018 Insights West[92] 1,053 32% 37% 17% 12% 2% 5%
May 4–7, 2018 Angus Reid[93] 809 36% 41% 17% n/a 6% 5%
Apr 16–18, 2018 Mainstreet[94] 900 36.8% 34.8% 15.7% 11.4% 1.4% 2.0%
Apr 12–15, 2018 Mainstreet[95] 1,496 37% 31% 17% 13% 2% 6%
Mar 5–6, 2018 Mainstreet[96] 1,511 30.7% 36.0% 21.9% 8.9% 2.5% 5.3%
Feb 3, 2018 Andrew Wilkinson is elected leader of the BC Liberals and becomes the leader of the Opposition.
Jan 15–17, 2018 Insights West[97] 829 31% 40% 19% 8% 2% 9%
Jan 3–4, 2018 Mainstreet[98] 817 33.9% 38.5% 27.6% n/a n/a 4.6%
Aug 14–15, 2017 Mainstreet[99] 2,050 38% 37% 16% n/a 9% 1%
Aug 4, 2017 Christy Clark resigns as leader of the BC Liberals and Rich Coleman is chosen as interim leader.
Jul 18, 2017 John Horgan becomes premier of British Columbia.
Jun 29, 2017 Christy Clark resigns as premier; John Horgan is invited to form government.
Jun 29, 2017 BC Liberal government is defeated in a confidence vote.
Jun 26–28, 2018 Ipsos[100] 800 44% 38% 14% n/a 4% 6%
Jun 23–28, 2017 Insights West[101] 821 36% 41% 19% n/a 4% 5%
Jun 26–27, 2017 Mainstreet[102] 1,650 45% 34% 17% n/a 4% 11%
Jun 15–19, 2017 Angus Reid[103] 810 39% 38% 20% n/a 3% 1%
Jun 8–11, 2017 Ipsos[104] 802 40% 42% 15% n/a 2% 2%
May 11–13, 2017 Mainstreet[105] 1,650 38% 39% 22% n/a n/a 1%
May 9, 2017 General election results[106] n/a 40.4% 40.3% 16.8% 0.5% 2.5% 0.1%

Notes

  1. ^ Can include the Conservative Party of British Columbia depending on the poll

References

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