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Climate of Mars

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Mars has a reasonably well studied climate, starting in earnest with the Viking program in 1975 and continuing with such probes as the highly successful Mars Global Surveyor. This work has been developed along side a scientific computer simulation called the Mars General Circulation Model [1]. Mars' climate has been of long standing interest in the question of life on the planet, and has recently become of interest due to claims that Mars, like the Earth, is undergoing a process of Global Warming.

Low atmospheric pressure

2001 Hellas Basin dust storm

The martian atmosphere is composed mainly of carbon dioxide and has a surface pressure of about 6 millibars, much lower than the Earth's 1013 millibars. One effect of this is that Mars' atmosphere can react much more quickly to a given energy input than can our atmosphere [2]. As a consequence Mars is subject to strong thermal tides, similar to the sea tides on Earth, but produced by solar heating rather than a gravitational influence. These tides can be significant, being up to 10% of the total atmospheric pressure. Earth's atmosphere experiences similar diurnal and semidiurnal tides but their effect is less noticeable because of Earth's much greater atmospheric mass.

Although the temperature on Mars can reach above 273K (0°C), liquid water is unstable due to the low atmospheric pressure, and water ice simply sublimes into water vapour. An exception to this is in the Hellas Planitia impact crater, the largest such crater on Mars. It is so deep that the atmospheric pressure at the bottom reaches 11.55 millibars, which is above the triple point of water, so if the temperature exceeds 0°C liquid water can exist here.

The surface of Mars has a very low thermal inertia, which means it heats quickly when the sun shines on it. Typical daily temperature swings, away from the polar regions, are around 100 K. On Earth winds often develop in areas where thermal inertia changes suddenly, such as from sea to land. There are no seas on Mars, but there are areas where the thermal inertia of the soil changes, leading to morning and evening winds akin to the sea breezes on Earth[3].

Winds

Hubble, Colossal Polar Cyclone on Mars

At low latitudes the Hadley circulation dominates, and is essentially the same as the process which on Earth generates the trade winds. At higher lattitudes a series of high an low pressure areas, called baroclinic pressure waves, dominate the weather. Mars is dryer and colder than Earth, and in consequence dust raised by these winds tends to remain in the atmosphere longer than on Earth as there is much less precipitation to wash it out. One such cyclonic storm was recently captured by the Hubble space telescope.[4].

Effect of dust storms

When the Mariner 9 probe arrived at Mars in 1979 the world expected to see crisp new pictures of surface detail. Instead they saw a near planet-wide dust storm [5]. with only the giant volcano Olympus Mons showing above the haze. The storm lasted for a month, an occurrence scientists have since learned in quite common on Mars. On June 26, 2001, the Hubble Space Telescope spotted a dust storm brewing in Hellas Basin on Mars. A day later the storm "exploded" and became a global event. This dust storm raised the temperature of the atmosphere of Mars by 30°C. The low density of the Martian atmosphere means that winds of 40 to 50 mph are needed to lift dust from the surface.

Dust storms are most common during perihelion, when the planet receives 40 percent more sunlight than during aphelion. During aphelion water ice clouds form in the atmosphere, interacting with the dust particles and affecting the temperature of the planet [6].

It has been suggested that dust storms on Mars could play a role in storm formation similar to that of water clouds on earth.[citation needed]

Polar caps

The polar regions of Mars, in particular the southern pole, are cold enough for cabon dioxide to condense and form polar ice caps together with large amounts of water ice. So much of the atmosphere can condense at the poles in summer and winter that the atmospheric pressure can vary by up to a third of its mean value of 6 millibars. The eccentricity of Mars' orbit affect this cycle, as well as other factors. In the spring and autumn wind caused by this sublimation process is so strong that it can be a cause of the global dust storms mentioned above [7].

Seasons

See also Astronomy_on_Mars#Seasons

The eccentricity of Mars' orbit is 0.1, much greater than the Earth's present orbital eccentricity of about 0.02. The large eccentricity causes the variation in insolation on Mars to vary as the planet passes round the Sun (the Martian year lasts 687 days, roughly 2 Earth years). As on Earth, Mars' obliquity dominates the seasons, but because of the large eccentricity winters in the southern hemisphere are long and cold while those in the North are short and warm. Precession in the alignment of the obliquity and eccentricity lead to global warming and cooling ('great' summers and winters) with a period of 170,000 years [8].

Like Earth, the obliquity of Mars undergoes periodic changes which can lead to long-lasting changes in climate. Once again, the effect is more pronounced on Mars because it lacks the stabilising influence of a large moon. As a result the obliquity can alter by as much as 45°. Jacques Laskar, of France's National Centre for Scientific Research, argues that the effects of these periodic climate changes can be seen in the layered nature of the ice cap on the planets north pole. [9].


Evidence for recent climatic change

Pits in south polar ice cap, MGS 1999, NASA

In 1999 the Mars Global Surveyor photographed pits in the layer of frozen carbon dioxide an the martian south pole. Because of their striking shape and orientation these pits have become known as swiss cheese features. In 2001 the craft photographed the same pits again and found that they had grown slightly larger [10].

More recent observations indicate that Mars' south pole is continuing to melt. "It's evaporating right now at a prodigious rate," says Michael Malin, principal investigator for the Mars Orbiter Camera (MOC) [11]. The pits in the ice are growing by about 3 meters per year. Malin states that conditions on Mars are not currently conductive to the formation of new ice. NASA has suggested that this indicates a "climate change in progress"[12] on Mars.

Calculations with the Mars General Circulation Model show that the local climate around the Martian south pole is currently in an unstable period. This instability is rooted in the geography of the region, leading Colaprete et al. to speculate that the melting of the polar ice is a local phenomenon rather than a global one[13].

K.I. Abdusamatov of the Pulkovo Observatory attributes the changes to increased levels of solar activity, asserting that "parallel global warmings -- observed simultaneously on Mars and on Earth -- can only be a straightline consequence of the effect of the one same factor: a long-time change in solar irradiance."[14] Abdussamatov's hypothesis has not been accepted by other scientists. Amato Evan, a climate scientist at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, stated that "the idea just isn't supported by the theory or by the observations." Other scientists have proposed that the observed variations are caused by irregularities in the orbit of Mars. [15]

The Max Planck Institute has asserted that solar activity over the past 60 to 70 years may have been at its highest level in 8,000 years [16]. Others have suggested that comparably high levels of activity have occurred several times in the last few thousand years.[17] Alternatively, it has been argued that "observed regional changes in south polar ice cover are almost certainly due to a regional climate transition, not a global phenomenon, and are demonstrably unrelated to external forcing."[8]

See also


References

  1. ^ NASA. "Mars General Circulation Modeling". NASA. Retrieved 2007-02-22.
  2. ^ MGCM. "Mars' low surface pressure..." NASA. Retrieved 2007-02-22.
  3. ^ MGCM. "Mars' desert surface..." NASA. Retrieved 2007-02-25.
  4. ^ Francois Forgot. "Alien Weather at the Poles of Mars" (PDF). Science. Retrieved 2007-02-25.
  5. ^ NASA. "Planet Gobbling Dust Storms". NASA. Retrieved 2007-02-22.
  6. ^ "Duststorms on Mars". whfreeman.com. Retrieved 2007-02-22.
  7. ^ MGCMG. "Mars' dry ice polar caps..." NASA. Retrieved 2007-02-22.
  8. ^ a b Steinn Sigurdsson. "Global warming on Mars?". RealClimate. Retrieved 2007-02-21. Cite error: The named reference "repeat" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  9. ^ Jacques Laskar. "Martian 'wobbles' shift climate". bbc.co.uk. Retrieved 2007-02-24.
  10. ^ "MOC Observes Changes in the South Polar Cap". Malin Space Science Systems. Retrieved 2007-02-22.
  11. ^ "Evaporating ice". Astronomy.com. Retrieved 2007-02-22.
  12. ^ Orbiter's Long Life Helps Scientists Track Changes on Mars
  13. ^ "Albedo of the South Pole of Mars...". Nature. 435: 184–188. 12 May 2005.
  14. ^ http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/story.html?id=edae9952-3c3e-47ba-913f-7359a5c7f723&k=0
  15. ^ Kate Ravilious. "Mars Melt Hints at Solar, Not Human, Cause for Warming, Scientist Says". National Geographic Society. Retrieved 2007-03-02.
  16. ^ S. K. Solanki. "Unusual activity of the Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11,000 years". Nature. Retrieved 2007-02-26.
  17. ^ Muscheler et.al., Nature, How unusual is today's solar activity?, 2005. Retrieved February 11, 2007.
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