Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election
Template:Future election in the United States
This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008.
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Democratic nominee
Barack Obama -
Republican nominee
John McCain -
Democratic Vice Presidential nominee
Joe Biden -
Republican Vice Presidential nominee
Sarah Palin
Opinion polling
For an archive of older polls, please see Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008/Archive.
9 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | October 8-9,2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 62% |
| Capital Research Center | October 6-7,2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 54.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 22,2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 60% |
| Survey USA | September 16-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 64% |
| American Research Group | September 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 58% |
| University of South Alabama/ Press-Register |
September 8-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 25% | John McCain | 52% |
| Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association |
September 3-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 55% |
| Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association |
July 29-August 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 47% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 31,2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 58% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 6, 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 55% | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | September 17-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 55% | ||
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
September 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 55% | ||
| American Research Group | September 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 55% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 64% | ||
| American Viewpoint ** | September 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 57% | ||
| Ivan Moore Research | August 30 - September 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 34.9% | John McCain | 53.5% | ||
| Hays Research Group ** | August 6-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 40% | Ralph Nader | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Ivan Moore Research | July 18-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
July 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 51% | ||
10 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 29,2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 59% |
| Arizona State University/Cronkite/Eight | September 25-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 45% |
| American Research Group | September 11-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 56% |
| Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication | August 20,2008 | Barack Obama | 30% | John McCain | 40% |
| Mason Dixon | August 13 -15 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling(PPP) | July 30-31,2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 30,2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 57% |
6 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 22,2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 51% |
| American Research Group | September 20-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 52% |
55 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 9,2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 40% |
| Survey USA | October 4-5,2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 39% |
| Survey USA | September 23-24,2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 22,2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 39% |
| American Research Group | September 18-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 39% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | September 9-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 40% |
| Field Research Corporation | September 5-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 41% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | August 12-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | July 8-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 35% |
| Field Research Corporation | July 8-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 30% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 32% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 58% | John McCain | 30% |
9 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
October 8-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | October 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position | October 6, 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | October 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Mason Dixon/Denver Post | September 29-October 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | September 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| American Research Group | September 23-25 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Insider Advantage/Poll Position | September 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine | September 21-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Ciruli Associates/ Economic Development Council of Colorado |
September 19-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | September 20-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
September 14-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Insider Advantage/Poll Position | September 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Allstate/National Journal/FD | September 11-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 14,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| American Research Group | September 10-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 45.5% | John McCain | 47.5% | ||
| InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position | September 10,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | September 9,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 7,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Tarrance Group ** | September 2-3 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
August 24-26 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Hill Research Consultants ** | August 23-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Suffolk University | August 21-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | August 15-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 38% | Bob Barr | 8% |
| Ralph Nader | 2% | ||||||
| Other | 8% | ||||||
| Mason Dixon | August 13 -15 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Rocky Mtn News/CBS4 | August 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 44% | Bob Barr | 3% |
| Ralph Nader | 2% | ||||||
| Other | 2% | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | August 5-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| FrederickPolls | July 16-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
July 14-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 46% | Other | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | July 9-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 38% | Bob Barr | 8% |
| Ralph Nader | 2% | ||||||
| Other | 4% | ||||||
7 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | September 24-25 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 38% |
| American Research Group | September 17-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16,2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 31,2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 36% |
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
June 30-July 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 57% | John McCain | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 1,2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 35% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Chester University | October 6-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | September 22-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 57% | John McCain | 37% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | September 17-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 36% |
| American Research Group | September 13-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 43% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | September 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 82% | John McCain | 13% |
27 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | October 12, 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 46% | Bob Barr | 1% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 8, 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Strategic Vision | October 6-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Research 2000 | October 6-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| NBC/Mason-Dixon | October 4-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | October 5,2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position | September 30, 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
September 28-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 47% | Ralph Nader | 3% |
| Suffolk University/WSVN | September 27-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | September 27-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | September 28, 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | September 27-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| SurveyUSA | September 27-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| American Research Group | September 23-25 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 24, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Strategic Vision | September 20-22, 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 21,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 51% | ||
| NBC/Mason Dixon | September 16-18, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Florida Times-Union/ South Florida Sun-Sentinel/ Research 2000 |
September 15-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| SurveyUSA | September 16-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 51% | Others | 1% |
| American Research Group | September 14-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 46% | Others | 3% |
| Miami Herald/ St. Petersberg Times/ Schroth, Eldon & Associates/ The Polling Company |
September 14-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
September 14-16, 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Allstate/National Journal/FD | September 11-15, 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 14,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 41.8% | John McCain | 52.1% | ||
| Insider Advantage/Poll Position | September 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 50% | Others | 4% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 5-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 50% | Others | 1% |
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 7,2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | September 6-7,2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Mason Dixon | August 25-26 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Strategic Vision | August 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 49% | Bob Barr | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 17-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% | Others | 2% |
| Kitchens Group ** | August 18-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 42% | Others | 6% |
| American Research Group | August 18-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 43% | Bob Barr | 5% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 12% | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 18,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research |
August 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 44.2% | John McCain | 47.8% | ||
| Survey USA | August 1-3 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | July 30-August 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | July 23-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Fabrizio,McLaughlin & Associates/ Florida Chamber of Commerce ** |
July 20-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 22,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| American Research Group | July 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| War Room Logistics | July 7-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 44% | ||
15 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | October 12, 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 51% |
| InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position | October 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 54% |
| Strategic Vision | October 5-October 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 50% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 29-October 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 50% |
| InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position | September 30, 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
| Survey USA | September 28-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 52% |
| American Research Group | September 18-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 57% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 54% |
| InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position | September 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 51% |
| Survey USA | September 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 57% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | September 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 56% |
| InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position | September 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 56% |
| Strategic Vision | September 7-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 53% |
| InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position/ Majority Opinion Research |
July 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 46% |
4 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 68% | John McCain | 27% |
| American Research Group | September 7-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 63% | John McCain | 32% |
| Survey USA | February 26-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 61% | John McCain | 31% |
4 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 16-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 62% |
| American Research Group | September 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 25% | John McCain | 68% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 9,2008 | Barack Obama | 29% | John McCain | 68% |
| Greg Smith & Associates | August 18-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 29% | John McCain | 52% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 28-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 53% |
21 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000 | September 15-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 17,2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 40% |
| Big Ten Poll | September 14-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 37% |
| American Research Group | September 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 12,2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 8,2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 41% |
11 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 7, 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 50% |
| CNN/Time/Opinion Research | October 3-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 51% |
| Research 2000/WISH-TV | September 29-October 3 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 46% |
| Research 2000 | September 28-29,2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 46% |
| Survey USA | September 28-29,2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 17-18,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 49% |
| American Research Group | September 14-18,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% |
| Big Ten Poll | September 14-17, 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% |
| Indianapolis Star/WTHR/ Selzer & Co. |
September 14-16, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 44% |
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
September 14-16, 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 51% |
| Howey-Gauge | August 29-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 49% |
| Survey USA | August 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
7 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | October 8-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 41% |
| Research 2000/KCCI | September 29-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 25,2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 43% |
| Marist College | September 18-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% |
| American Research Group | September 17-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 44% |
| Survey USA | September 17-18, 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 43% |
| Quad-City Times/ Lee Enterprises |
September 15-17, 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 39% |
| Big Ten Poll | September 14-17, 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 45% |
| Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co. |
September 8-10, 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 40% |
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
August 31-September 2, 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% |
| Hawkeye Poll | August 13, 2008 | Barack Obama | 49.5% | John McCain | 43.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 7, 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 10, 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% |
6 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | September 21-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 18,2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 58% |
| American Research Group | September 7-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 31% | John McCain | 63% |
| Survey USA | August 18-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 58% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 55% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 58% |
8 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 30,2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 52% |
| Louisville Courier-Journal/Mason-Dixon | September 22-25 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 53% |
| Survey USA | September 21-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 57% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 55% |
| American Research Group | September 8-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 57% |
| Survey USA | August 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 55% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 28-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 56% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 29,2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 52% |
9 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 25, 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 55% |
| American Research Group | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 17, 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 57% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 56% |
4 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 46% |
| Survey USA | September 22-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 46% |
| American Research Group | September 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% |
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
September 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% |
10 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 60% | John McCain | 37% |
| American Research Group | September 17-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 39% |
| Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies | August 29-September 5,2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 18,2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 43% |
12 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23,2008 | Barack Obama | 58% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | September 22-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 39% |
| American Research Group | September 20-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 38% |
| Suffolk University | July 31-August 3 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 38% |
17 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
October 8-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 38% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 8, 2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Rossman/Denno-Noor/MIRS | October 1-4 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 39% | Unspecified third party candidate | ~4% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 29-October 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV | September 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 38% | ||
| Strategic Vision | September 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine | September 21-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| NBC/Mason-Dixon | September 18-23,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit News | September 20-22,2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 38% | ||
| Allstate/National Journal/FD | September 18-22,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 21,2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
September 14-21,2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| American Research Group | September 16-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Marketing Resource Group of Lansing | September 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Marist College | September 16-17, 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit News | September 14-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Big Ten Poll | September 14-17, 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43.3% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| InAdv/PollPosition | September 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Time/CNN | September 7-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | September 6-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Strategic Vision | September 5-7,2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit News | August 18-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV | August 17-20 2008[1] | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 37% | Bob Barr | 5% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 12% | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | July 23-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
July 14-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News |
July 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 42% | ||
10 electoral votes chart
6 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 52% |
| American Research Group | September 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 55% |
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
September 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 55% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 56% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 54% |
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
July 21-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 51% |
11 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | October 12,2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% |
| SurveyUSA | October 10-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 43% |
| American Research Group | October 4-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 49% |
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | October 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% |
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
September 28-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 48% |
| Survey USA | September 23-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% |
| St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000 | September 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% |
| St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000 | September 15-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 49% |
| American Research Group | September 11-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 50% |
| Zogby Interactive * | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 42.4% | John McCain | 48.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 11,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 51% |
| Time/CNN/Opinion Research | September 7-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 48% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 13-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
| Survey USA | July 29-31 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 49% |
| Research 2000/ St. Louis Post Dispatch |
July 7-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 2-5 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Other | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | October 6-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 50% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 52% | |||
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 52% | |||
| CNN/Time Magazine | September 21-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 49% | Bob Barr | 1% | |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | |||||||
| American Research Group | September 7-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 49% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 53% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 31 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% | |||
5 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 56% |
| American Research Group | September 12-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 60% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 55% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 52% |
5 electoral votes chart
4 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | October 6-October 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| CNN/Time/Opinion Research | October 3-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Survey USA | October 4-5, 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 1, 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| St. Anselm/SRBI | September 25-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 37% | ||
| Concord Monitor/Research 2000 | September 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Strategic Vision | September 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Suffolk University | September 20-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Allstate/National Journal/FD | September 18-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Marist College | September 17-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| University of New Hampshire | September 14-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| American Research Group | September 13-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% | Others | 1% |
| Zogby Interactive * | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 42.8% | John McCain | 49.1% | ||
| CNN/Time/Opinion Research | September 9,2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 42% | Bob Barr | 11% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 9% | ||||||
| American Research Group | August 18-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 23,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| American Research Group | July 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| University of New Hampshire | July 11-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 43% | ||
15 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Other | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | October 12, 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 7, 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Farleigh Dickinson University | September 29-October 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 37% | ||
| Survey USA | September 27-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Strategic Vision | September 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| American Research Group | September 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 42% | Other | 1% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Strategic Vision | September 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey |
September 11-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | September 10-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| The Bergen Record/ Research 2000 |
September 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Marist College | September 5-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Farleigh Dickinson University | September 4-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | August 4-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey |
July 17-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 36% | ||
| Strategic Vision | July 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 38% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 44% | ||
5 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque Journal/ Research & Polling |
September 29-October 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 40% | Ralph Nader | 1% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 1,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| SurveyUSA | September 29-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | September 17-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| SurveyUSA | September 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| American Research Group | September 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Allstate/National Journal/FD | September 11-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 45.6% | John McCain | 44.1% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
August 24-26 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 37% | Bob Barr | 5% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 11% | ||||||
| Mason Dixon | August 13 -15 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% | ||
31 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | October 11-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 64% | John McCain | 31% |
| Survey USA | September 23-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 57% | John McCain | 38% |
| American Research Group | September 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 42% |
| Siena College | September 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 41% |
| Siena College | August 11-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 36% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 31-August 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 57% | John McCain | 36% |
| Siena College | July 17-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 26% |
| Siena College | July 7-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 37% |
15 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | October 12, 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 8, 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 48% |
| Civitas/TelOpinion | October 6-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 43% |
| WSOC-TV | October 6-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47.8% |
| SurveyUSA | October 5-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 49% |
| CNN/Time/Opinion Research | October 3-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 49% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 4-5, 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 30, 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% |
| American Research Group | September 27-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 49% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 27-28, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23, 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 47% |
| Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research |
September 17-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 45% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 17-19, 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 46% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 18, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 50% |
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
September 14-16, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% |
| American Research Group | September 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 52% |
| Zogby Interactive * | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 48.1% | John McCain | 46.6% |
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
September 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 55% |
| Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research |
September 6-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 9,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 48% |
| SurveyUSA | September 6-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 58% |
| Garin Hart Yang | September 5-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 49% |
| Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
August 20-26 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 45% |
| InsiderAdvantage | August 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 42.8% | John McCain | 44.5% |
| Zogby International * | August 15-August 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% |
| Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research |
August 14-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 46% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
| Survey USA | August 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 49% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 28-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 23-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% |
| Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research |
July 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% |
| Survey USA | July 12-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 50% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota State University Moorhead/ Fargo Forum |
October 6-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 43% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 16-17,2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 53% |
| American Research Group | September 15-17,2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 8,2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 55% |
| North Dakota United Transportation Union/ DFM Research ** |
August 23-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 40% |
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
July 21-July 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 8,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% |
20 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | October 12-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | October 12,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Insider Advantage/PollPosition | October 9,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Strategic Vision | October 6-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Marist College | October 5-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| University of Cincinnati/ The Ohio News Organization |
October 4-8, 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| American Research Group | October 4-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
October 3-6,2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | October 5,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | October 4-5,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| ABC News/Washington Post | October 3-5 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Columbus Dispatch | September 24-October 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner ** |
September 29-October 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Insider Advantage/PollPosition | September 29,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Survey USA | September 28-29, 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | September 27-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | September 28,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Insider Advantage/PollPosition | September 22,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 21,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Big Ten Poll | September 14-17, 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| University of Cincinnati/ The Ohio News Organization |
September 12-16, 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Marist College | September 11-15, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Allstate/National Journal/FD | September 11-15, 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 14,2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
September 13-14, 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | September 13-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Survey USA | September 12-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| American Research Group | September 10-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Suffolk University | September 10-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 43.9% | John McCain | 49.8% | ||
| InAdv/PollPosition | September 10,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| University of Cincinnati | September 5-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 48% | Other | 5% |
| Strategic Version | September 7-9,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | September 5-9,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 7,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 51% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
August 31-September 2, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | August 17-24,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| The Columbus Dispatch | August 12-21,2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20,2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 36% | Bob Barr | 8% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 13% | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | August 12-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | July 23-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 21,2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 52% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | July 17-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 40% | ||
7 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TVPoll.com | October 10-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 31.9% | John McCain | 63.0% |
| TVPoll.com | October 4-5 2008 | Barack Obama | 29.1% | John McCain | 65.5% |
| Survey USA | September 28-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 64% |
| TVPoll.com | September 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 26.5% | John McCain | 67.6% |
| TVPoll.com | September 20-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 26.2% | John McCain | 65.8% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 16-18,2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 59% |
| American Research Group | September 15-18,2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 61% |
| TVPoll.com | September 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 26.9% | John McCain | 69.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 11,2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 63% |
| TVPoll.com | September 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 27.9% | John McCain | 65.9% |
| Survey USA | September 5-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 65% |
| Sooner Poll/ Tulsa World |
July 19-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 24% | John McCain | 56% |
7 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Other | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | October 11-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 57% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Survey USA | September 22-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| American Research Group | September 19-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 15,2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Portland Tribune/ Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall |
September 11-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Hoffman Research Group ** | September 8-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 39% | Bob Barr | 1% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Survey USA | August 2-4 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 40% | ||
21 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | October 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% | |||
| Marist College | October 5-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 41% | |||
| Strategic Vision | October 5-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 40% | |||
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | October 3-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 38% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 41% | |||
| SurveyUSA | October 5-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% | |||
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | October 1-5 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 38% | |||
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | September 30-October 3 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 39% | |||
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | September 27-October 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% | |||
| Quinnipiac University | September 27-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 39% | |||
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | September 25-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% | |||
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | September 28,2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 42% | |||
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | September 24-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% | |||
| Franklin & Marshall | September 23-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 38% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 24,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% | |||
| Survey USA | September 23-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 44% | |||
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | September 21-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 43% | |||
| CNN/Time Magazine | September 21-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 43% | Bob Barr | 1% | |
| Ralph Nader | 3% | |||||||
| American Research Group | September 20-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 46% | |||
| Strategic Vision | September 20-22, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 46% | |||
| Allstate/National Journal/FD | September 18-22, 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 41% | |||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 21, 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% | |||
| NBC/Mason Dixon | September 16-18, 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% | |||
| Big Ten Poll | September 14-17, 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 45% | |||
| Marist College | September 11-15, 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% | |||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 14, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% | |||
| Zogby Interactive * | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 44.3% | John McCain | 49.1% | |||
| Quinnipiac University | September 5-9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% | |||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 8, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | |||
| Strategic Vision | September 5-7, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | |||
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
August 24-26 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 43% | |||
| Quinnipiac University | August 17 - 24, 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 19, 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% | |||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 37% | Bob Barr | 5% | |
| Ralph Nader | 3% | |||||||
| Other | 8% | |||||||
| Susquehanna Polling & Research |
August 11-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 41% | |||
| Franklin and Marshall College | August 4-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 41% | |||
| Quinnipiac University | July 23-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% | |||
| Strategic Vision | July 25-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 40% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 23, 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% | |||
4 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island College | September 17-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 34% |
| Brown University | September 15-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 34% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 13,2008 | Barack Obama | 58% | John McCain | 39% |
| American Research Group | September 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 59% | John McCain | 33% |
| Brown University | August 18-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 30% |
8 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 54% |
| Survey USA | September 21-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 58% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 18,2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 51% |
| American Research Group | September 14-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 59% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 22-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 53% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 45% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Other | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | September 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 55% | Other | 1% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 54% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% | ||
11 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 58% |
| Middle Tennessee State University | September 15-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 48% |
| Mason-Dixon | September 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 55% |
| American Research Group | September 16-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 59% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20, 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 60% |
| Ayres, McHenry & Associates ** | August 10-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 51% |
34 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | October 5-October 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 57% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 52% |
| American Research Group | September 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 57% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 21,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 54% |
| University of Texas | July 18-30,2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 29,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 52% |
5 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | September 10-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 29% | John McCain | 65% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 64% |
| Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates |
September 8 -11 2008 | Barack Obama | 24% | John McCain | 62% |
| Mason Dixon | August 13 -15 2008 | Barack Obama | 23% | John McCain | 62% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 65% | John McCain | 32% |
| American Research Group | September 18-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 38% |
| Research 2000 | September 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 60% | John McCain | 36% |
13 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | October 12,2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | October 6-October 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | October 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| SurveyUSA | October 4-5 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Suffolk University | October 3-5 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Mason-Dixon/ Richmond Times-Dispatch |
September 28-October 1,2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
September 28-30,2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Insider Advantage/Poll Position | September 29,2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| American Research Group | September 27-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Fox News/Rasmussen Reports | September 28, 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 25, 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| NBC/Mason-Dixon | September 17-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 21, 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Survey USA | September 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| ABC News/Washington Post | September 18-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| American Research Group | September 17-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Insider Advantage/Poll Position | September 17,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Allstate/National Journal/FD | September 11-15,2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 14,2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | September 13-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Survey USA | September 12-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Christopher Newport University | September 10-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | September 9-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 43.8% | John McCain | 50.3% | ||
| Time/CNN/Opinion Research | September 9,2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports |
September 7,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Survey USA | September 5-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | August 20-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 41% | Bob Barr | 5% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 10% | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research |
August 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 42.6% | John McCain | 43.1% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Survey USA | August 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | July 17-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
11 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 2, 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 43% |
| Survey USA | September 21-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 43% |
| American Research Group | September 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 44% |
| Strategic Vision | September 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 10,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 47% |
| Elway Poll | September 6-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 37% |
| Survey USA | September 5-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% |
| Survey USA | August 11-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 42% |
| Elway Poll | July 27-31 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 35% |
| Strategic Vision | July 25-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 37% |
| Survey USA | July 13-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 39% |
| Moore Information | July 9-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 43% |
5 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Other | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | October 4-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| CNN/Time Magazine | September 21-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 49% | Ralph Nader | 5% |
| Cynthia McKinney | 1% | ||||||
| American Research Group | September 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Mark Blankenship Enterprises | September 6-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 44% | ||
10 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Other | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
October 8-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 37% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 6, 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 44% | |||
| Research 2000 | October 5-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% | |||
| Survey USA | October 5-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% | |||
| CNN/Time/Opinion Research | October 3-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 46% | |||
| Strategic Vision | September 22-26 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 40% | |||
| WISC-TV/Research 2000 | September 23-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% | |||
| American Research Group | September 18-21, 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 45% | Other | 1% | |
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
September 14-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% | |||
| Big Ten Poll | September 14-17, 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 44% | |||
| CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research |
September 14-16, 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 15,2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 46% | |||
| Strategic Vision | September 5-7,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 43% | |||
| Strategic Vision | August 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 42% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 44% | |||
| Wisconsin Policy Research Institute | August 3-4 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 38% | |||
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
July 14-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 39% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% | |||
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 57% |
| American Research Group | September 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 28% | John McCain | 66% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 10,2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 58% |
| Mason Dixon | August 13 -15 2008 | Barack Obama | 25% | John McCain | 62% |
Notes
- * a scientific poll conducted via the Internet (not used in calculating results below).
- ** a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).
Latest results (using latest polling when available)
This results section uses only the latest polls for each state. It is for indicative purposes only, and is highly susceptible to polling errors. The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A total of 538 electoral votes are distributed among the states and DC. Margins of 10% or more are considered "safe"; margins of 5% to 9% are considered "likely" and margins of 1% to 4% are considered "leaning": because the list is revised after newer polls are released, it is highly volatile and should only be taken as examples. Margins of multiple polls concluded the same day are averaged out.
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Tied
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Maps of recent polling data
Map and totals updated at 10-13-08 10:20PM EST. Maps are based on a weighted average for the previous 10 polling results, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion: see Image:McCainObamaMatchupTWINtop.svg for details. The map on the right is altered to convey the proportional amount of electoral votes of each state. The number of electoral votes of a given state is based on its population. Candidates must win at least 270 electoral votes to win the election and congress votes in case of a tie.
| Safe Obama - over 10% (188) | Likely Obama - over 5% (277) (89) | Leans Obama - over 1% (349) (72) | Tossup - within 1% (20) | Leans McCain - over 1% (169) (14) | Likely McCain - over 5% (155) (18) | Safe McCain - over 10% (137) |
| District of Columbia (3) - 69.0% Hawaii (4) - 38.3% |
Michigan (17) - 9.0% Washington (11) - 8.0% |
Colorado (9) - 4.8% Florida (27) - 4.6% |
North Carolina (15) - 0.9% Obama West Virginia (5) - 0.5% Obama |
Indiana (11) - 3.4% North Dakota (3) - 3.1% |
Georgia (15) - 7.5% Montana (3) - 7.5% |
Utah (5) - 35.5% Idaho (4) - 34.5% |
Totals
- Obama leads: 349 electoral votes
- McCain leads: 169 electoral votes
Charts of polling data in battleground states
Updated October 7, 2008
Michigan
17 electoral votes
data | Obama +6.2%
Minnesota
10 electoral votes
data | Obama +6.8%
Wisconsin
10 electoral votes
data | Obama +5.1%
Pennsylvania
21 electoral votes
data | Obama +9.1%
Colorado
9 electoral votes
data | Obama +3.7%
New Hampshire
5 electoral votes
data | Obama +6.8%
Nevada
5 electoral votes
data | Obama +1.1%
Virginia
13 electoral votes
data | Obama +4.6%
Ohio
20 electoral votes
data | Obama +2.4%
Florida
27 electoral votes
data | Obama +3.2%
Indiana
11 electoral votes
data | McCain +2.3%
File:Indiana Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg
Missouri
11 electoral votes
data | McCain +0.5%
North Carolina
15 electoral votes
data | Obama +1.3%
Election Day projection
Updated 03:05, 13 October 2008 (UTC)
- Data derived from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today. (Methodology)
- Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed.
See also
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates
- Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2008 presidential candidates
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008
- Straw polls for the 2008 United States presidential election
- Straw polls for the Republican Party 2008 presidential nomination
References
- ^ "Poll: Obama Leading McCain In Mich - Politics News Story - WDIV Detroit". Clickondetroit.com. Retrieved 2008-09-05.
External links
- FiveThirtyEight.com: Detailed analysis of state-by-state general election polling
- Electoral-Vote.com
- Pollster.com graphic display of aggregated polls
- Election-Projection.net 2008 state-by-state and Electoral College Vote Projections
- Rasmussen Reports: Balance of Power Calculator
- Real Clear Politics
- Princeton Election Consortium
- Survey USA
- CNN's Electoral Map
- American Research Group's Ballot Lead Calculator