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Exponential distribution

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The exponential distribution is a continuous probability distribution with probability density function:

  • p(t) = 0 for t<0
  • p(t) = exp(-t/λ)/λ for t ≥ 0

where λ > 0 is a parameter of the distribution.

The distribution is useful in a situation where an object is initially in state A and can change to state B with constant probability per unit time, equal to 1/λ. A random variable following the exponential distribution describes the time at which the state switches. Therefore, the integral from 0 to T over p is the probability that at time T the object is in state B.

Examples of variables that are exponentially distributed:

  • the time until you have your next car accident
  • the time until you get your next phone call
  • the distance between mutations on a DNA strand
  • the distance between roadkill

The expected value and the standard deviation of a random variable following the exponential distribution are both equal to λ

The shape of the probability density function for λ=5 is shown below:

File:Exp5.png

See also: statistics