Draft:Dynamic-strategy theory

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Dynamic-strategy theory (DST) is a realist general dynamic theory developed inductively by Graeme Snooks in The Dynamic Society (1996) and Ark of the Sun (2015). The DST was constructed to explain the fluctuating fortunes of both life and society over the past 4,000 million years. It also offers an explanation for the great biological and technological paradigm shifts throughout time, and predicts the exhaustion of the present industrial technical paradigm and its replacement with the imminent solar technical paradigm. Over the past 40 years the DST has been applied to many species, societies and intellectual issues by Snooks. More recently it has been successfully adapted and applied by Huw McKay to analysing and predicting the socioeconomic transition of China.

The distinguishing features of DST are its endogenous and demand-side characteristics. Snooks's DST consists of the following four interacting factors:

1. the driving force of individual organisms to survive and prosper - called "strategic desire" - which provides the theory's self-starting and self-sustaining character
2. the four "dynamic strategies" - genetic/technological change, family multiplication (procreation and migration), symbiosis/commerce, and conquest - which are employed by organisms to achieve their objectives
3. the "strategic struggle" through which organisms attempt to gain or retain control of the sources of prosperity
4. the constraining force of "strategic exhaustion" (not natural resource exhaustion, which is technology dependent), which leads to the stagnation and collapse of societies, species, and technological paradigms

While this system is endogenously determined, it is subject to exogenous shocks, both physical and biological, that impact randomly, unsystematically and marginally. In this dynamic model, species, dynasties and biological/technological paradigms collapse not due to exogenous shocks but to endogenous strategic exhaustion.

Publications

• G.D. Snooks (1996), ‘’The Dynamic Society’’, London & New York: Routledge.
• G.D. Snooks (1997), ‘’The Ephemeral Civilisation’’, London & New York: Routledge.
• G.D. Snooks (1998), ‘’The Laws of History’’, London & New York: Routledge.
• G.D. Snooks(2015), ‘’Ark of the Sun’’, Canberra: IGDS Books.
• H. McKay (2024),‘’The Strategic Logic of China’s Economy’’, Cham Switzerland: Springer.
• G. Magee (2006), ‘As big as it gets: Big Theory and [Snooks’] ‘’Collapse of Darwinism’’ ‘, “Social Evolution & Hostory”, vol. 5 (March).
• Y. Kyngdon (2013), ‘Interview of Graeme Snooks’ for ‘’e-International Relations’’: “www.e-ir.info/2013/08/07/interview-graeme-snooks/
• A.N. Chumakov (2014), ‘’Global Studies: An Encyclopedic Dictionary’’, Value Enquiry Books.

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• Sociological theories