2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
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All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Iowa |
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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the state's four U.S. representatives. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election. Primary elections were held on June 5, 2012.[1]
The new congressional map, drawn by the state's Legislative Services Agency and passed with bipartisan support in the state House of Representatives and Senate, was signed into law by Governor Terry Branstad on April 19, 2011. Reflecting population shifts recorded in the 2010 United States census, the new map decreases Iowa's representation from five congressional districts to four.[2]
Overview
[edit]United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2012 [3] | ||||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
Democratic | 772,387 | 50.26% | 3 | 2 | -1 | |
Republican | 726,505 | 47.27% | 2 | 2 | - | |
Socialist Workers | 6,286 | 0.41% | - | |||
Independent | 30,291 | 1.97% | - | |||
Write-In | 1,380 | 0.09% | - | |||
Totals | 1,536,849 | 100% | 5 | 4 | -1 |
District 1
[edit]
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County results Braley: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Lange: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Bruce Braley, a Democrat the incumbent representative from the 1st district in northeastern Iowa since 2007, ran in the new 1st district. Fellow incumbent Dave Loebsack, who lived within the boundaries of the new 1st district in Linn County, but who had represented southeastern Iowa's 2nd district since 2007, moved to Johnson County and ran in the new 2nd district.[4] The 1st district has become more favorable to Democrats with the inclusion of Linn County and its loss of Scott County.[5] Braley won the Democratic nomination unopposed.[6]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bruce Braley, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
[edit]- Dave Loebsack, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 2nd district
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bruce Braley (incumbent) | 11,912 | 99.2 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 92 | 0.8 | |
Total votes | 12,004 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ben Lange | 13,217 | 52.9 | |
Republican | Rod Blum | 11,551 | 46.2 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 143 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 24,991 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[11]
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[12] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[13] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[14] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[16] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[17] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[18] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bruce Braley (incumbent) | 222,422 | 56.9 | |
Republican | Ben Lange | 162,465 | 41.6 | |
Independent | Gregory Hughes | 4,772 | 1.2 | |
Independent | George Todd Krail II | 931 | 0.2 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 259 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 390,849 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
[edit]
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County results Loebsack: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Archer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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None of Iowa's current members of Congress resided in the newly drawn 2nd district; however, Democrat Dave Loebsack moved from Linn County to Johnson County in order to avoid a primary against Bruce Braley and continue representing southeastern Iowa.[4] The 2nd district became slightly more favorable to Republicans as a result of the inclusion of Scott County, but retains Democratic-leaning Johnson County.[5]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dave Loebsack, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dave Loebsack (incumbent) | 17,467 | 81.5 | |
Democratic | Joe M. Seng | 3,913 | 18.3 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 39 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 21,419 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- John Archer, senior legal counsel at John Deere[20]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Dan Dolan, housing developer[21]
Withdrew
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Archer | 16,604 | 60.5 | |
Republican | Dan Dolan | 10,775 | 39.3 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 57 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 27,436 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program[23]
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[11]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dave Loebsack (D) |
John Archer (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tarrance (R-Archer)[24] | June 25–27, 2012 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 43% | 10% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[13] | Likely D | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[14] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[16] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[17] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[18] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dave Loebsack (incumbent) | 211,863 | 55.6 | |
Republican | John Archer | 161,977 | 42.5 | |
Independent | Alan Aversa | 7,112 | 1.8 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 323 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 381,275 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
[edit]
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County results Latham: 50–60% 60–70% Boswell: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Leonard Boswell, a Democrat who represented the 3rd district in central Iowa since 1997, and Tom Latham, a Republican who represented the 4th district in northern and central Iowa since 1995, both ran in the new 3rd district.[25] Latham, who lived in the new 4th district, moved south to avoid facing fellow Republican Steve King in a primary.[26]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Leonard Boswell, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Leonard Boswell (incumbent) | 8,382 | 98.3 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 145 | 1.7 | |
Total votes | 8,527 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tom Latham, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Latham (incumbent) | 27,757 | 99.2 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 218 | 0.8 | |
Total votes | 27,975 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Campaign
[edit]Approximately half of the new 3rd district was at the time represented by Boswell, whereas the new 3rd district contained than 20 per cent of the area currently represented by Latham. However, Latham had $983,500 cash on hand at the end of March 2011, whereas Boswell had just $173,815.
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program[23]
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[27]
Debate
[edit]The first debate was held October 10, 2012 at 7 pm, sponsored by KCCI and the Des Moines Register.[28]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Leonard Boswell | Tom Latham | |||||
1 | Oct. 10, 2012 | The Des Moines Register KCCI |
Kevin Cooney Kathy Obradovich |
C-SPAN | P | P |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Leonard Boswell (D) |
Tom Latham (R) |
Scott Batcher (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benenson (D-DCCC)[29] | September 18–20, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[13] | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[14] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[16] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[17] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[18] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Latham (incumbent) | 202,000 | 52.2 | |
Democratic | Leonard Boswell (incumbent) | 168,632 | 43.6 | |
Independent | Scott G. Batcher | 9,352 | 2.4 | |
Socialist Workers | David Rosenfeld | 6,286 | 1.6 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 572 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 386,842 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
District 4
[edit]
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County results King: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Vilsack: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Steve King, a Republican represented western Iowa's 5th district since 2003, ran in the new 4th district. The new 4th district comprises mostly territory which King represented and which tends to vote for Republican candidates.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Steve King, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
[edit]- Tom Latham, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 4th district
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 38,238 | 98.9 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 420 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 38,658 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Christie Vilsack | 10,765 | 99.2 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 88 | 0.8 | |
Total votes | 10,853 | 100.0 |
Independents
[edit]Martin James Monroe also ran.
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[31]
- EMILY's List[32]
Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, September 27, 2012
- Complete video of debate, October 25, 2012
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve King (R) |
Christie Vilsack (D) |
Martin Monroe (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO)[33] | September 24–25, 2012 | 577 (LV) | ± % | 48% | 45% | — | 7% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Vilsack)[34] | September 22–25, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 44% | 4% | 6% |
American Viewpoint (R-American Future Fund)[35] | September 23–24, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 41% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D-House Majority PAC)[36] | January 18–23, 2012 | 974 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 43% | — | 8% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[13] | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[14] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[16] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[17] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[18] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 200,063 | 52.9 | |
Democratic | Christie Vilsack | 169,470 | 44.9 | |
Independent | Martin James Monroe | 8,124 | 2.1 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 226 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 377,883 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
References
[edit]- ^ "3 Year Election Calendar". Iowa Secretary of State. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
- ^ Wright, Allie (April 20, 2011). "Branstad signs redistricting bill". The Daily Iowan. Archived from the original on September 27, 2011. Retrieved April 21, 2011.
- ^ "Secretary of State - Election Night Results - November 6th, 2012". Iowa Secretary of State. Archived from the original on May 24, 2013. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
- ^ a b Waddington, Lynda (April 14, 2011). "Loebsack makes re-election hopes in new 2nd District official". The Iowa Independent. Archived from the original on April 16, 2011. Retrieved April 21, 2011.
- ^ a b Toeplitz, Shira (May 26, 2011). "Race Ratings: Competitive Races On Tap in Iowa". Roll Call. Retrieved May 27, 2011.
- ^ "2012 Primary Election Canvass Summary" (PDF). Iowa Secretary of State. Retrieved November 17, 2012.
- ^ Lynch, James Q. (October 12, 2011). "Lange: Rematch with Braley in Iowa 1st like an open seat race". Eastern Iowa Government. Archived from the original on April 6, 2012. Retrieved October 13, 2011.
- ^ Clayworth, Jason (October 24, 2011). "Dubuque businessman to challenge Braley". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved October 26, 2011.
- ^ "Rathje seeks Republican nomination in northeast Iowa's 1st Congressional District". The Republic. July 20, 2011. Retrieved August 14, 2011.
- ^ Petroski, William (December 16, 2011). "Rathje quits Iowa's 1st District congressional race, returns nearly $100,000 to donors". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved January 7, 2012.
- ^ a b "CANDIDATES". gopyoungguns.com. Archived from the original on October 29, 2012. Retrieved March 6, 2023.
- ^ "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. Retrieved November 6, 2012.
- ^ a b c d "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. November 2, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
- ^ a b c d [1], as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ a b c d Crystal Ball, as of November 5, 2012[update]
- ^ a b c d House Race Ratings, The New York Times, as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ a b c d [2], as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ a b c d "House Ratings". The Hill. November 3, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
- ^ "Seng enters race for Congress". Quad-City Times. March 16, 2012. Retrieved March 17, 2012.
- ^ a b Lynch, James Q. (July 7, 2011). "Quad Cities attorney to challenge Loebsack". The Gazette (Cedar Rapids). Archived from the original on December 19, 2011. Retrieved September 10, 2011.
- ^ Lemmon, Dustin (June 20, 2011). "Dolan is Loebsack's first GOP challenger". Quad-City Times. Retrieved September 10, 2011.
- ^ Crippes, Christinia (February 21, 2012). "Gates withdraws from GOP race". The Hawk Eye. Retrieved March 17, 2012.
- ^ a b "2012 Frontline Democrats". actblue.com. DCCC. Archived from the original on July 29, 2012. Retrieved March 6, 2023.
- ^ Tarrance (R-Archer)
- ^ Price, Dave (April 18, 2011). "POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Boswell said he feels confident about his chances". WHO-DT. Retrieved April 21, 2011.
- ^ Cillizza, Chris (April 15, 2011). "Tom Latham to run in Iowa's 3rd district". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 21, 2011.
- ^ "Candidates". electgoppatriots.org/. NRCC. Archived from the original on October 16, 2012. Retrieved March 5, 2023.
- ^ Watch tonight: Des Moines Register, KCCI host 3rd District debate, Des Moines Register, October 10, 2012
- ^ Benenson (D-DCCC)
- ^ Shea, Bill (July 20, 2011). "Vilsack launches campaign". The Messenger. Retrieved July 20, 2011.
- ^ "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC. Archived from the original on October 26, 2012. Retrieved March 5, 2023.
- ^ "Help Our Candidates Win!". emilyslist.org. Archived from the original on November 14, 2012. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO)
- ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Vilsack)
- ^ American Viewpoint (R-American Future Fund)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D-House Majority PAC) Archived 2012-01-28 at the Wayback Machine
External links
[edit]- Elections from the Iowa Secretary of State
- United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2012 at Ballotpedia
- Iowa U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Iowa from OpenSecrets
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation