Template:Future election in the United States
This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) Senate elections, 2008. The National Journal/Hotline rankings are based on predictions of the likelihood of seat switching party control.
Opinion polling
Democratic Incumbents
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 5
Incumbent: Mary Landrieu
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Mary Landrieu | Republican: John Kennedy |
---|---|---|---|
Southern Media & Opinion Research | March 26 - April 9, 2008 | 50% | 38% |
Survey USA | December 13, 2007 | 46% | 42% |
Zogby International | November 29, 2007 | 38% | 45% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 25
Incumbent: John Kerry
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: John Kerry | Republican: Jeff Beatty/Jim Ogonowski |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 22,2008 | 55% 53% |
30% 31% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 26
Incumbent: Carl Levin
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Carl Levin | Republican: Jack Hoogendyk |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 7, 2008 | 54% | 37% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 18
Incumbent: Max Baucus
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Max Baucus | Republican: Mike Lange |
---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | Dec 17-19, 2007 | 63% | 25% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 13
Incumbent: Frank Lautenberg
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Frank Lautenberg | Republican: Joe Pennacchio |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 2, 2008 | 54% | 36% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 27, 2008 | 46% | 38% |
News Day | January 20, 2008 | 40% | 25% |
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Frank Lautenberg | Republican: Murray Sabrin |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 2, 2008 | 54% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 27, 2008 | 46% | 31% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 14
Incumbent: Tim Johnson
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Tim Johnson | Republican: Joel Dykstra |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | March 4, 2008 | 63% | 28% |
Republican Incumbents
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 9
Incumbent: Ted Stevens
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Mark Begich | Republican: Ted Stevens |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 7, 2008 | 45% | 46% |
Research 2000 | December 3 - 6, 2007 | 47% | 41% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 23
Incumbent: Jeff Sessions
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Vivian Davis Figures | Republican: Jeff Sessions |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 2, 2008 | 36% | 57% |
Rasmussen Reports | November 14, 2007 | 30% | 62% |
SurveyUSA | August 25 - 27, 2007 | 37% | 59% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 4
Incumbent: None
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Mark Udall | Republican: Bob Schaffer |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 16, 2008 | 45% | 42% |
New Leadership USA/TargetPoint | March 31-April 7, 2008 | 45% | 45% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 17, 2008 | 46% | 43% |
McLaughlin & Associates | March 6-March 9, 2008 | 44% | 32% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 11, 2008 | 43% | 44% |
Research for Change | December 3-December 5, 2007 | 39% | 37% |
Rasmussen Reports | November 28, 2007 | 41% | 42% |
SurveyUSA | October 27-October 30, 2007 | 48% | 41% |
Ciruli Associates Poll | September 12-September 15, 2007 | 36% | 35% |
Hill Research Consultants | August 26-August 28, 2007 | 45% | 40% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 21
Incumbent: Saxby Chambliss
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Dale Cardwell/Vernon Jones/Jim Martin | Republican: Saxby Chambliss |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 6, 2008 | 37% 30% 33% |
51% 58% 54% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 20, 2008 | 36% 30% 33% |
52% 56% 51% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 20
Incumbent: None
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Larry LaRocco | Republican: Jim Risch |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | September 6-September 8, 2007 | 36% | 52% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 7
Incumbent: Susan Collins
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Tom Allen | Republican: Susan Collins |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 1, 2008 | 38% | 54% |
McLaughlin & Associates | March 6-March 9, 2008 | 31% | 54% |
Critical Insights | October 12-October 30, 2007 | 34% | 54% |
Survey USA | October 26-October 29, 2007 | 38% | 55% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | October 15-October 17, 2007 | 33% | 56% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 6
Incumbent: Norm Coleman
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Al Franken | Republican: Norm Coleman |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | April 30-May 1, 2008 | 42% | 52% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 22, 2008 | 43% | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 19, 2008 | 46% | 48% |
Survey USA | March 12, 2008 | 41% | 51% |
McLaughlin & Associates | March 6-March 9, 2008 | 40% | 46% |
Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute for Public Affairs | January 20-January 27, 2008 | 43% | 40% |
Minnesota Public Radio/Mason Dixon | May 7-May 9, 2007 | 32% | 54% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 15
Incumbent: None
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Scott Kleeb | Republican: Mike Johanns |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | November 12-November 14, 2007 | 28% | 59% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 3
Incumbent: John Sununu
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Jeanne Shaheen | Republican: John Sununu |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 30, 2008 | 51% | 43% |
American Research Group | March 14-March 17, 2008 | 47% | 33% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 16, 2008 | 49% | 41% |
University of New Hampshire | January 18-January 27, 2008 | 55% | 37% |
Survey USA | October 26-October 29, 2007 | 53% | 42% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 2
Incumbent: None
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Tom Udall | Republican: Steve Pearce/Heather Wilson |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 8, 2008 | 54% 56% |
40% 36% |
New Mexico State University | January 22-January 31, 2008 | 53% 52% |
31% 36% |
Survey USA | November 16-November 19, 2007 | 54% 56% |
40% 41% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | November 5-November 7, 2007 | 54% 55% |
37% 38% |
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates | October 23-October 27, 2007 | 50% 52% |
33% 36% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 12
Incumbent: Elizabeth Dole
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Kay Hagan | Republican: Elizabeth Dole |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 8, 2008 | 48% | 47% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 10, 2008 | 39% | 52% |
Public Policy Polling | February 18, 2008 | 33% | 50% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 8
Incumbent: Gordon Smith
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Jeff Merkley/Steve Novick | Republican: Gordon Smith |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 7, 2008 | 42% 41% |
45% 47% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 13, 2007 | 30% 35% |
48% 48% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 30
Incumbent: Lamar Alexander
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Mike Padgett/Bob Tuke | Republican: Lamar Alexander |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 3, 2007 | 31% 30% |
58% 59% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 16
Incumbent: John Cornyn
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Rick Noriega | Republican: John Cornyn |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | May 5 - May 7, 2008 | 44% | 48% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 1, 2008 | 43% | 47% |
Research 2000 | September 24 - 26, 2007 | 35% | 51% |
Rasmussen | September 18, 2007 | 30% | 53% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 1
Incumbent: None
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Mark Warner | Republican: Jim Gilmore |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 1, 2008 | 55% | 39% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 21, 2008 | 57% | 37% |
Rasmussen Reports | January 3, 2008 | 53% | 38% |
SurveyUSA | November 5, 2007 | 57% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 30, 2007 | 53% | 37% |
Washington Post | October 12, 2007 | 61% | 31% |
Christopher Newport University | October 1, 2007 | 51% | 27% |
Survey USA | September 17, 2007 | 60% | 32% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 6, 2007 | 54% | 34% |
Senate Primary Polling
Kentucky Democratic Primary winner: To be determined
Primary Date: May 20 2008
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Survey USA
Sample size: 595 |
May 3 - May 5 2008 | Bruce Lunsford 41%, Greg Fischer 22%, David Williams 5%, Michael Cassaro 5%, Kenneth Stepp 4%, James Rice 3%, David Wylie 3%, Other 12%, Undecided 4% |
Survey USA
Sample size: 555 |
April 26 - April 28 2008 | Bruce Lunsford 43%, Greg Fischer 18%, David Williams 7%, James Rice 4%, Kenneth Stepp 4%, Michael Cassaro 3%, David Wylie 2%, Other 12%, Undecided 6% |
Survey USA
Sample size: 557 |
April 12 - April 14 2008 | Bruce Lunsford 47%, Greg Fischer 9%, David Williams 8%, James Rice 5%, Michael Cassaro 5%, David Wylie 3%, Kenneth Stepp 1%, Other 14%, Undecided 8% |
Survey USA
Sample size: 572 |
March 28 - March 30 2008 | Bruce Lunsford 42%, David Williams 11%, Greg Fischer 6%, James Rice 5%, David Wylie 5%, Michael Cassaro 4%, Kenneth Stepp 3%, Other 17%, Undecided 8% |
New Jersey Democratic Primary winner: To be determined
Primary Date: June 3 2008
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Joel Benenson | April 1 - April 2 2008 | Frank Lautenberg 52%, Rob Andrews 21%, Other/Undecided 37% |
Oregon Democratic Primary winner: To be determined
Primary Date: May 20 2008
Poll source | Date | Highlights |
---|---|---|
Survey USA
Sample size: 650 |
April 28 - April 30 2008 | Steve Novick 30%, Jeff Merkley 28%, Candy Neville 8%, Roger Obrist 4%, David Loera 2%, Pavel Goberman 2%, Other/Undecided 26% |
Survey USA
Sample size: 597 |
April 4 - April 6 2008 | Steve Novick 23%, Candy Neville 12%, Jeff Merkley 11%, David Loera 6%, Roger Obrist 5%, Pavel Goberman 3%, Other/Undecided 40% |
Other 2008 Senate Races
Incumbents in Bold
State | Primary Date | Democrat | Republican | Independent |
---|---|---|---|---|
Arkansas
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 24 |
May 20, 2008 | Mark Pryor | None | Rebekeh Kennedy(Green) |
Delaware
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 31 |
September 9, 2008 | Joe Biden | None | None |
Illinois
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 28 |
February 5, 2008 | Richard Durbin | Steve Sauerberg | None |
Iowa
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 19 |
June 3, 2008 | Tom Harkin | George Eichhorn Steve Rathje Christopher Reed |
None |
Kansas
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 29 |
August 5, 2008 | Lee Jones | Pat Roberts | None |
Kentucky
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 11 |
May 20, 2008 | Mike Cassaro Greg Fischer Bruce Lunsford James Rice Kenneth Stepp David Williams David Wylie |
Mitch McConnell Daniel Essek |
None |
Mississippi
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 32 |
March 11, 2008 | Erik Fleming | Thad Cochran | None |
Mississippi
Special Election to Fill Trent Lott's Remaining 4 years |
March 11, 2008 | Ronnie Musgrove | Roger Wicker | None |
Oklahoma
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 17 |
July 29, 2008 | Andrew Rice | James Inhofe | None |
Rhode Island
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 35 |
September 9, 2008 | Jack Reed Chris Young |
None | None |
South Carolina
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 22 |
June 10, 2008 | Michael Cone Bob Conley |
Lindsey Graham Buddy Witherspoon |
None |
West Virginia
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 27 |
May 13, 2008 | Jay Rockefeller Jay Wolfe |
Sheirl Fletcher Billy Hendricks Jr. |
None |
Wyoming
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 36 |
August 19, 2008 | None | Michael Enzi | None |
Wyoming
Special Election to Fill the Late Craig Thomas's Remaining 4 years |
August 19, 2008 | None | John Barrasso | None |
Predicted Results Based on Polling and Predictions
Projected Composition of the 111th Congress: Democrats: 54(+5), Republicans: 44(-5), Independents: 2, Too Close to Call: 0
Republican Holds
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Democratic Holds
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Swing Seats
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